Does fighting inflation always lead to recession? What 60 years of NZ data can tell us
New Zealand’s history of inflation, recessions and unemployment offer clues to what might happen next. Coupled with global events, the outlook is not promising.
New Zealand’s history of inflation, recessions and unemployment offer clues to what might happen next. Coupled with global events, the outlook is not promising. Keep Reading
Greg Ninness says there may come a day when banks don't have any direct contact with their customers and everything is handled by third parties Keep Reading
Running a quick stock take on the NZ and Aussie economies, Australia comes out on top. Keep Reading
Patrick Watson reckons the potential for mass unemployment is lower than it used to be, so wonders if the US can have a recession if unemployment can’t rise Keep Reading
But the cuts may not come soon enough., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
No one should be surprised that artificial intelligence is following a well-worn and entirely predictable financial arc Keep Reading
This week I completed my monthly survey of real estate agents around the country undertaken with sponsorship from NZHL. Keep Reading
Tax rule change will affect some investors differently., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
US retail, factory order, and housing data all positive. But sentiment doesn't rise; Singapore gets factory boost; UST 10yr 4.24%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3 Keep Reading
Despite the brutal round of interest rate hikes, people are still holding onto their jobs — and the unpredictable nature of the real world is making a mockery of economics textbooks. Is it a miracle, or have we arrived at a point where unemployment and inflation can subside together? Keep Reading
Economic outlook for 2024 has worsened but there are reasons for optimism in 2025., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome Keep Reading
Leading US economist John H Cochrane says the evidence that higher interest rates lower inflation "is a lot shakier than you would think", and central banks can't manage the economy by themselves. Keep Reading
Fighting deflation, a sinking property market and weak internal demand, Beijing has set itself a challenging goal in 2024 Keep Reading
A new index gives us insight into how sentiment impacts investor behaviour in New Zealand. How investors feel about the market does not always match the mounting global and local uncertainties. Keep Reading
Australia's neighbours have targeted palm oil, chicken wings, rice and other essentials to curb inflation. But experts say there's one thing the most successful responses have in common. Keep Reading
Remember, property prices can go down as well as up., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
The Shortest History of Economics is not just a history of economic thought, but a history of economic life. Keep Reading
Whatever today's economic data shows about how close Australia is to recession the truth is we are already experiencing the biggest dive in living standards in half a century — and have been for two years, writes Peter Martin. Keep Reading
We're back in a buyer's market., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
The five things you need to know about the housing market this week., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
A promising surge in consumer spending over the Chinese New Year holiday doesn’t give Beijing any guarantees about an economic rebound ahead of its annual Two Sessions meetings, says Natixis economist Gary Ng. Keep Reading
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The Reserve Bank could easily hike the Official Cash Rate again in the coming week. But should it? Keep Reading
The resignation of the company's chief executive and chairman risks glazing over the real issues behind its $120m loss. Keep Reading
No one should be surprised that artificial intelligence is following a well-worn and entirely predictable financial arc Keep Reading
Collected articles from the world of investment, insurance, capital markets and financial services. Keep Reading